2026-01-25
RECOMMENDED DECISIONS
International organizations should engage political parties to develop concrete post-February 7
framework before deadline.
Businesses should prepare for governance uncertainty after February 7 regardless of dismissal
resolution outcome.
Political actors should initiate national dialogue urgently to negotiate succession mechanism and
prevent institutional vacuum.
January 25, 2026
Diplomatic missions should coordinate messaging supporting negotiated solution over unilateral
CPT or PM actions.
Electoral authorities should clarify timeline feasibility given 23 communes remain under gang
control rendering CEP operations impossible.
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.