2026-01-25

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

International organizations should engage political parties to develop concrete post-February 7 framework before deadline. Businesses should prepare for governance uncertainty after February 7 regardless of dismissal resolution outcome. Political actors should initiate national dialogue urgently to negotiate succession mechanism and prevent institutional vacuum. January 25, 2026 Diplomatic missions should coordinate messaging supporting negotiated solution over unilateral CPT or PM actions. Electoral authorities should clarify timeline feasibility given 23 communes remain under gang control rendering CEP operations impossible. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.