2026-01-18
STRATEGIC HORIZON
How will international actors including United States Canada CARICOM OAS and UN
coordinate or fail to coordinate post-February 7 responses if Haiti enters deadline
without agreed governance framework, and which competing factions will claim
legitimacy on February 8 triggering institutional crisis. Will TPS termination February 3
combined with CPT expiration February 7 create compounded humanitarian and
political emergency requiring emergency international intervention during four-day
convergence period.