2026-01-18

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

STRATEGIC HORIZON

How will international actors including United States Canada CARICOM OAS and UN coordinate or fail to coordinate post-February 7 responses if Haiti enters deadline without agreed governance framework, and which competing factions will claim legitimacy on February 8 triggering institutional crisis. Will TPS termination February 3 combined with CPT expiration February 7 create compounded humanitarian and political emergency requiring emergency international intervention during four-day convergence period.