2026-01-18

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

Government should clarify whether any amnesty or negotiation frameworks are under consideration. PNH should prepare for potential violence resumption January 21-25 if passes without gang-relevant announcements. International community should assess whether violence resumption scenarios warrant emergency security response planning. Humanitarian organizations should pre-position supplies for potential displacement surge if violence resumes this week. Civil society should evaluate whether unified proposals should include provisions addressing gang demobilization. Security analysts should monitor gang communications through for resumption indicators. CONFIDENCE Moderate confidence based on partial institutional reporting.