2026-01-18

Haiti enters final 20 days to February 7 with five converging crises creating highest-risk period. Governance vacuum assured with CPT expiring and no agreed successor framework after 6+ weeks negotiations. International coordination collapsed with CARICOM silent, OAS inactive, UN mandate expiring January 31. Diaspora deportation crisis approaches with February 3 TPS termination affecting 350000+ just four days before CPT expiration. Infrastructure crisis ongoing with Route 1 impassable 12 days, 43-day gang pause potentially ending, 5800+ newly displaced. Opposition mobilization ready with MORN Montana Accord and civil society poised to act if produces no frameworks.