2026-01-17

February 3 TPS termination affecting 350,000 Haitians creating compressed crisis period with diaspora remittance disruptions four days before CPT expiration. February 7 Constitutional Presidential Council mandate expiration in exactly 21 days representing inflection point for governance vacuum, competing legitimacy claims, or coordinated transition depending on frameworks announced. Post-February 7 period between February 8 and 15 as potential window for gang violence resumption if strategic patience extends through transition or opportunistic political actors exploiting chaos to claim governance authority.