2026-01-08

Government should clarify whether December 28 no negotiations doctrine is absolute or allows backchannel amnesty discussions to prevent violence resumption. January 08, 2026 PNH and GSF should use operational pause window to consolidate defensive positions anticipating mid-January violence resumption scenario. International community should pressure CPT to develop gang amnesty framework addressing Crisis Group concerns before February 7 deadline. CARICOM should include gang reintegration mechanisms in any February 7 transition framework to incentivize operational pause extension. Monitoring systems should track gang communications and territorial movements between January 15-20 for resumption indicators. Humanitarian organizations should prepare for violence resumption scenario including supply pre-positioning and evacuation planning for vulnerable populations. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.