2026-01-08

CARICOM and OAS should convene emergency coordination session by January 12 to activate institutional continuity mechanisms and prevent February 7 power vacuum. CPT should publish mandate extension or transition framework proposal by January 15 to allow minimum 23-day implementation and legitimization period. Civil society organizations should consolidate competing proposals into single coordinated framework by January 12 to strengthen negotiating position with CPT. International community should clarify position on CPT mandate extension versus replacement formula to resolve U.S.-Canada split before mid-January. UN Security Council should address post-February 7 transition coordination in BINUH mandate renewal vote expected before January 31. Monitoring systems should track gang operational patterns in Port-au-Prince for resumption signals between January 15-20 as critical inflection point. CONFIDENCE January 08, 2026 High confidence based on official institutional reporting.