2025-12-30

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

Ten consecutive days without major gang violence represents longest operational pause since October 2025. Pattern began December 21 continuing through Christmas with only isolated December 23 to 26 incidents. Pause reflects strategic calculation monitoring political developments and February 7 constitutional deadline rather than security deterrence. Crisis Group December 15 reporting documented gang discussions about exploiting mandate expiration for amnesty negotiations. December 24 drone strike and December 25 to 26 market attack demonstrate expanding operational domains including drone warfare.