2025-12-30

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Haiti's statistical institute published 2025 economic data showing negative 2.7 percent GDP growth marking the seventh consecutive year of economic contraction and confirming that security operations alone cannot reverse collapse without political stability. Gang violence remained suspended for the tenth consecutive day since December 21 representing the longest operational pause in months and suggesting strategic repositioning ahead of 2026 escalation as the February 7 2026 constitutional deadline approaches. The OAS Roadmap includes an institutional continuity provision committing international actors to work with Haitian authorities to avoid power vacuum if the Transitional Presidential Council expires without successor but the mechanism remains deliberately vague with 39 days remaining.