2025-12-30
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Haiti's statistical institute published 2025 economic data showing negative 2.7 percent
GDP growth marking the seventh consecutive year of economic contraction and
confirming that security operations alone cannot reverse collapse without political
stability. Gang violence remained suspended for the tenth consecutive day since
December 21 representing the longest operational pause in months and suggesting
strategic repositioning ahead of 2026 escalation as the February 7 2026 constitutional
deadline approaches. The OAS Roadmap includes an institutional continuity provision
committing international actors to work with Haitian authorities to avoid power vacuum
if the Transitional Presidential Council expires without successor but the mechanism
remains deliberately vague with 39 days remaining.