2025-12-24
STRATEGIC HORIZON
The February 7 2027 constitutional deadline creates a four hundred ten day window
requiring either successful election completion or formal CPT mandate extension
through constitutional amendment. Current electoral timeline collapse suggests
August 30 2026 elections are no longer viable, pushing realistic election dates to late
2026 or early 2027. This compressed timeline requires candidate list publication by
mid-January 2026 to allow minimum campaign periods, making the current
seventy-two hour delay critically destabilizing. Gang maritime warfare expansion
threatens La Gonave Island siege and potential extension to other coastal supply
routes including Cap-Haitien and Jacmel corridors.