2025-12-24
DEVELOPMENT 2: MARITIME WARFARE ESCALATION
The Haitian Coast Guard repelled a five-boat gang attack on a convoy of thirteen
merchant vessels bound for La Gonave Island in Port-au-Prince bay on December 23.
The assault by heavily armed individuals represents the first documented maritime
warfare incident in December and establishes a dangerous precedent for gang
operational expansion into sea-based combat. La Gonave Island depends entirely on
maritime supply routes from Port-au-Prince for food, fuel, and medical supplies
serving approximately one hundred fifty thousand residents. By attacking these
convoys, gangs can implement island siege tactics without requiring amphibious
territorial occupation.
December 24, 2025
The Coast Guard successfully repelled the attack with no reported casualties or
vessel losses, demonstrating government maritime capabilities remain functional
despite land-based security collapse. This contrasts sharply with the National Police
inability to intervene in urban incidents such as the ongoing Bel-Air massacre now
entering day seventeen without resolution. However, the attack confirms gangs
possess boats, heavy weapons, and operational coordination capacity to challenge
government control of Port-au-Prince bay, Haiti's most critical maritime corridor. The
deployment of five coordinated attack boats indicates significant logistical preparation
and suggests this was not an opportunistic assault but a planned operation.
The targeting of La Gonave supply convoys threatens humanitarian catastrophe for
island populations. If gangs establish persistent interdiction capability, the island faces
acute food and fuel shortages within two weeks given limited local agricultural
production and complete dependence on Port-au-Prince imports. The December 23
attack occurred during peak holiday supply movement when merchant vessels
transport elevated cargo volumes to meet Christmas and New Year demand. Gang
maritime operations also threaten international shipping access to Port-au-Prince port
facilities, potentially triggering commercial vessel insurance surcharges that increase
import costs across Haiti.