2025-12-24

December 27 represents the first post-holiday working day when CEP administrative silence can no longer be attributed to Christmas operations. If no candidate list publishes by December 27, expect urgent calendar revision negotiations involving CARICOM and OAS mediators. Watch for Coast Guard requests for international maritime patrol support following the December 23 gang attack on La Gonave supply convoy. Monitor whether the IACHR sexual violence statement triggers UN Security Council emergency session or additional humanitarian organization evacuations from December 24, 2025 Port-au-Prince.