2025-12-22

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

STRATEGIC HORIZON

December 22, 2025 The February 7 2027 constitutional deadline drives all strategic calculations with 47 days remaining for electoral process completion or mandate extension negotiation. Gang strategic positioning for February 7 amnesty negotiations will intensify as the deadline approaches with armed groups calibrating operational tempo and territorial consolidation based on electoral process strength or weakness. International community must begin public diplomacy on succession frameworks by January 2026 if electoral timeline breakdown continues preventing constitutional vacuum scenarios.