2025-12-22
STRATEGIC HORIZON
December 22, 2025
The February 7 2027 constitutional deadline drives all strategic calculations with 47 days
remaining for electoral process completion or mandate extension negotiation. Gang strategic
positioning for February 7 amnesty negotiations will intensify as the deadline approaches with
armed groups calibrating operational tempo and territorial consolidation based on electoral
process strength or weakness. International community must begin public diplomacy on
succession frameworks by January 2026 if electoral timeline breakdown continues preventing
constitutional vacuum scenarios.