2026-02-09

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

France becomes second major Western power after US to formally endorse Fils-Aime government following CPT dissolution. French statement explicitly calls for mobilizing judicial apparatus against gang supporters signaling expectation of legal accountability beyond military operations. GSF deployment timeline shows April 2026 first contingents and October 2026 full deployment creating six to eight month capacity gap. Kenya MSS drawdown and GSF arrival not synchronized creating vulnerability window during transition period. 268 Haitians deported February 5-7 into crisis environment with 90 percent capital gang control and 5.7 million food insecure. TPS termination effective February 3 places 350,000 plus at risk despite active State Department Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory.