2026-02-04

International organizations should pre position operational flexibility for engagement with interim authorities likely PM Fils Aime continuation while maintaining humanitarian operations firewall from political negotiations Political actors must prioritize pragmatic agreement in 72 hour window recognizing constitutional PM continuation fallback provides legal basis but lacks political legitimacy Diaspora networks should coordinate messaging emphasizing constitutional compliance and stakeholder dialogue necessity Private sector should maintain minimal operational footprint until post February 7 governance structures clarified All stakeholders should prepare contingency protocols for potential legitimacy disputes or parallel authority claims CONFIDENCE Moderate confidence based on partial institutional reporting.