2026-02-01

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

DEVELOPMENT 2: Political Dialogue Launch and February 7 Governance Transition Crisis

On February 1 CPT co-presidents Leslie Voltaire and Edgard Leblanc Fils launched a three-day political dialogue summit at a hotel in Petion-Ville. The summit brings together hundreds of participants from political parties religious leaders labor unions and civil society to negotiate the post-February 7 governance architecture. Leblanc Fils emphasized the urgency of reaching a new political accord stating it constitutes the indispensable framework for redefining national governance and conferring a clear mandate to state authorities beyond February 7. Under the April 3 and 4 2024 political agreement establishing the CPT Article 12.1 explicitly states the council mandate ends February 7 2026 with Article 13 prohibiting any extension. CPT President Leslie Voltaire confirmed January 30 that the council will leave office as scheduled expressing confidence that political actors will reach an agreement before the deadline. However as of February 1 no official succession mechanism has been announced. If political actors fail to reach consensus by February 6 the UN envoy noted that the constitution allows for the prime minister to remain in office under such circumstances suggesting PM Alix Didier Fils-Aime could continue as caretaker executive authority. Multiple competing transition proposals have emerged from different political coalitions. A 70-plus political party coalition proposed in November 2025 a one-year transition excluding current CPT members featuring a dual executive system with transitional president and prime minister aiming for late 2026 elections. A civil society initiative suggested in January 2026 a framework for completing transition with choice between retaining current PM Fils-Aime or selecting civil society February 01, 2026 figure while excluding political party members from president and PM positions to prevent electoral bias. The Montana Accord Bureau advocated for three-member transitional presidential council plus technocratic cabinet with oversight body to monitor government action. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated unequivocally January 23 that the CPT must be disbanded by February 7 without corrupt individuals attempting to interfere in Haiti electoral governance for personal benefit. The UN special envoy Carlos Ruiz warned January 22 that the country no longer has time to waste on prolonged internal struggles. International pressure against last-minute government changes intensified following a failed attempt by five CPT members to dismiss PM Fils-Aime in late January which was sharply rebuked by the US State Department.