2026-01-26

International organizations should prepare contingency plans for complete Port-au-Prince aviation isolation through March 2026, routing cargo and personnel through Cap-Haitien with armed convoy protocols for overland movement. Businesses should immediately audit supply chain dependencies on Port-au-Prince airport access and establish alternative routing through Dominican Republic or Cap-Haitien with timeline assumptions of 60-90 day Port-au-Prince closure. Political actors in dismissal coalition should assess personal sanctions risk before publishing dismissal resolution in Le Moniteur, recognizing US willingness to impose visa restrictions on individual CPT members blocks international travel. Diaspora communities should advise family members to avoid unnecessary travel to Haiti given aviation access collapse, and prepare for potential deportee arrivals through Cap-Haitien as TPS termination takes effect February 3 2026. January 26, 2026 Humanitarian agencies should pre-position supplies in Cap-Haitien and northern departments anticipating Port-au-Prince access deterioration, with fuel and medical stockpiles sufficient for 30-45 day supply disruption scenarios. Private security contractors should conduct aviation threat assessments for any remaining charter operations, implementing evasive approach protocols and passenger manifests limited to essential personnel given demonstrated gang anti-aircraft capability. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.