2026-01-14
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Haiti entered the 24-day countdown to the February 7 2026 CPT mandate expiration
with no new developments reported on January 14. The mid-week pause during
CARICOM's critical decision window suggests behind-the-scenes negotiations before
anticipated framework announcements later this week. January 17 represents the last
viable day for governance framework releases allowing adequate 21-day
implementation time. The 35-day gang attack pause continues as the longest
sustained period without major gang-initiated violence on record now exceeding five
weeks. With 24 days remaining before February 7 Haiti faces three scenarios:
announcements enabling 21-day implementation, weekend emergency CARICOM
summit, or extended silence creating compressed 14-18 day windows with
heightened operational failure risks.