2026-01-14

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Haiti entered the 24-day countdown to the February 7 2026 CPT mandate expiration with no new developments reported on January 14. The mid-week pause during CARICOM's critical decision window suggests behind-the-scenes negotiations before anticipated framework announcements later this week. January 17 represents the last viable day for governance framework releases allowing adequate 21-day implementation time. The 35-day gang attack pause continues as the longest sustained period without major gang-initiated violence on record now exceeding five weeks. With 24 days remaining before February 7 Haiti faces three scenarios: announcements enabling 21-day implementation, weekend emergency CARICOM summit, or extended silence creating compressed 14-18 day windows with heightened operational failure risks.