2026-01-07

Four deadlines converge between January 31 and February 7 including BINUH mandate expiration, TPS termination, CPT constitutional deadline, and potential gang violence resumption timing. Seven-day window between January 31 BINUH renewal and February 7 CPT expiration eliminates gradual transition planning and forces binary framework choices. BINUH Security Council resolution language will signal whether international community supports CPT mandate extension or remains neutral on post-February 7 governance. Deadline compression creates cascading failure risks where diaspora deportations, institutional vacuum, and security escalation could coincide in early February. Civil society transition completion proposals published January 6 have received no CPT response, indicating continued disagreement on constitutional interpretation of mandate extension prohibition.