2025-12-27

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

DEVELOPMENT 1: POLITICAL MOBILIZATION ACCELERATES TOWARD

CONSTITUTIONAL DEADLINE The Movement for Reconstruction and National Reconciliation announced on December 26 that it will organize a sit-in on December 29 2025 demanding the resignation of the Transitional Presidential Council and its government. MORN called on the population particularly in the metropolitan area to mobilize massively to reject renewal of the April 3 agreement and demand CPT departure. The movement framed February 7 2026 as marking 40 years since the country has lived in total instability and corruption since the fall of the Duvalier regime. The CPT responded on December 27 by issuing a formal denial of allegations made December 27, 2025 by Pierre Esperance Executive Director of the National Network for the Defense of Human Rights who claimed CPT members were proposing departure bonuses of 500000 to 600000 dollars. The CPT stated its mission remains exclusively focused on responsible conduct of political transition and transparent management of public resources. The Council urged the public and media to remain vigilant against disinformation campaigns. The denial represents defensive positioning as scrutiny intensifies with 42 days remaining until constitutional expiration. This marks the first major opposition mobilization announcement since the Electoral Council published the revised electoral calendar on Christmas Day. By scheduling the sit-in 40 days before the February 7 mandate expiration MORN aims to force a political crisis that either compels the CPT to announce a mandate extension framework or creates street pressure that collapses the Council before the constitutional deadline. The timing is critical as the CPT must either announce self-extension with no legal basis negotiate a new transitional framework with CARICOM and the Organization of American States or expire on February 7 with no successor triggering constitutional crisis.