2026-02-24
STRATEGIC HORIZON
February 24, 2026
Kidnapping network disruption or expansion: the convergence of Delmas and downtown
Port-au-Prince incidents signals either a network expanding its geographic footprint or multiple
cells replicating a successful tactic; if interdictions do not disrupt the command and logistics
layer of these operations within two to three weeks, the fake-checkpoint model will likely spread
to additional transit corridors including the RN1 and RN2 arteries, which would constitute a
qualitative escalation in operational risk for the humanitarian and business community.