2026-02-22

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS

The National Pact signed February 21 establishes the governance framework for the post-CPT transition but faces immediate constitutional legitimacy challenges that international actors must assess before committing electoral support. Gang retaliation in Kenscoff killed two Natcom telecom workers within hours of a successful PNH tactical operation, confirming that infrastructure targeting escalates in proportion to security force activity in contested zones. PNH intelligence operations in Delmas 30 foiled an active kidnapping and killed two suspects, demonstrating improved counter-kidnapping capability in the zone most affected by the recent surge. The D.C. Circuit TPS ruling can arrive at any time and represents the most consequential near-term overhang for the Haitian diaspora community. Exchange rate remains stable at approximately 131 HTG per USD, but a Le Nouvelliste economic analysis raises questions about whether BRH interventions are masking deeper domestic price distress.