2026-02-18

TPS written ruling from Judge Reyes is the primary trigger event; the D.C. Circuit order, when issued, will determine whether the federal government escalates to the Supreme Court. Direction of travel is toward prolonged litigation regardless of outcome. Government operations resume February 19 as the first full post-Carnival working day; watch for Fils-Aime decrees, appointments, or policy announcements that establish the governing agenda for the pre-electoral period. DCPJ response to the RNDDH denunciation is expected; absence of any response by end of week is itself an intelligence indicator of government posture on rule-of-law accountability. OAS Permanent Council readout from today's meeting should be published and will set the multilateral tone.