2026-02-07

Fils-Aime now governs alone without institutional checks facing 90 percent gang control and 10000+ deaths during transition French Ambassador acknowledges fundamental difficulty organizing elections in current security conditions 70+ party coalition EDE Montana Accord and Fanm Yo Deside represent significant domestic opposition to U.S.-backed arrangement International community has single executive counterpart but accountability vacuum creates donor risk Orderly transition without violence represents best-case scenario but fundamental operating environment unchanged CEP targets August 30 2026 first round but feasibility depends on security improvements and territorial access