# AYITI INTEL - DAILY

**Date:** 2026-02-07
**Language:** EN
**Pages:** 11

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## Table of Contents

- [EXECUTIVE SUMMARY](#executive-summary)
- [QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS](#quick-summary-for-stakeholders)
- [DEVELOPMENT 1: CPT DISSOLVED FILS-AIME ASSUMES SOLE EXECUTIVE AUTHORITY](#development-1-cpt-dissolved-fils-aime-assumes-sole-executive-authority)
- [HISTORICAL CONTEXT](#historical-context)
- [TALKING POINTS](#talking-points)
- [RECOMMENDED DECISIONS](#recommended-decisions)
- [DEVELOPMENT 2: U.S. WARSHIPS DEPLOYED IN PORT-AU-PRINCE BAY](#development-2-u.s.-warships-deployed-in-port-au-prince-bay)
- [HISTORICAL CONTEXT](#historical-context)
- [TALKING POINTS](#talking-points)
- [RECOMMENDED DECISIONS](#recommended-decisions)
- [DEVELOPMENT 3: MASSIVE SECURITY DEPLOYMENT WITH NEW ARMORED VEHICLES](#development-3-massive-security-deployment-with-new-armored-vehicles)
- [HISTORICAL CONTEXT](#historical-context)
- [TALKING POINTS](#talking-points)
- [RECOMMENDED DECISIONS](#recommended-decisions)
- [DEVELOPMENT 4: POST-CPT GOVERNANCE LANDSCAPE AND STAKEHOLDER](#development-4-post-cpt-governance-landscape-and-stakeholder)
- [HISTORICAL CONTEXT](#historical-context)
- [TALKING POINTS](#talking-points)
- [RECOMMENDED DECISIONS](#recommended-decisions)
- [WHAT TO WATCH NEXT](#what-to-watch-next)
- [NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS](#next-24-to-48-hours)
- [THIS WEEK](#this-week)
- [STRATEGIC HORIZON](#strategic-horizon)
- [PRIMARY SOURCES](#primary-sources)

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## EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Haiti's Transitional Presidential Council formally dissolved today transferring executive power to
Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime in a ceremony at Villa d'Accueil around 10:00 AM. Fils-Aime
now governs alone through the Council of Ministers with no presidential oversight structure. Three
U.S. warships remain deployed in Port-au-Prince Bay under Operation Southern Spear. PNH
deployed massive security presence including new South Korean armored vehicles. No major
security incidents occurred during transition. The CPT's dissolution was orderly but governance
framework lacks institutional checks. Exchange rate remained stable at approximately 131
HTG/USD. International community backing solidifies Fils-Aime position despite domestic
opposition from 70+ party coalition.



## QUICK SUMMARY FOR STAKEHOLDERS

CPT dissolved on schedule with formal ceremony transferring power to PM Fils-Aime who now
governs without oversight body
U.S. deployed three warships to Port-au-Prince Bay under Operation Southern Spear as visible
deterrence posture
PNH showcased new South Korean armored vehicles in unprecedented security deployment
protecting transition ceremony
CARICOM Eminent Persons Group confirmed governance model with power exercised by Council
of Ministers chaired by Prime Minister
Dissenting CPT members proposed rival Presidential College structure but lacks international
recognition or backing



## DEVELOPMENT 1: CPT DISSOLVED FILS-AIME ASSUMES SOLE EXECUTIVE AUTHORITY

Haiti's nine-member Transitional Presidential Council formally ended its mandate on February 7
2026 transferring executive power to Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime in a ceremony held
under strict security at the Villa d'Accueil. CPT President Laurent Saint-Cyr delivered farewell
remarks stating our guiding principles are clear political elections and stability before symbolically
handing authority to the Prime Minister. Le Nouvelliste captured the moment with the headline
Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime Alone at the Helm noting he enjoys the support of the
Americans which proved decisive in keeping him at the Prime Minister's Office despite a
resolution never published in Le Moniteur by a majority of presidential advisers to dismiss him.
The CARICOM Eminent Persons Group following meetings with Haitian political actors
announced the post-CPT governance model stating due to a lack of consensus starting this
February 7 2026 power will be exercised by the Council of Ministers chaired by Prime Minister
Alix Didier Fils-Aime. This arrangement means Fils-Aime is the sole executive authority with no
February 07, 2026

presidential council collegiate body or oversight structure. The governance framework arrived at
by default rather than consensus with no formal transition accord and no accountability
mechanism despite provisions in the April 2024 Agreement. The civil society organization
ORDEDH is advocating for a chambre de controle de la transition but none has been established.
Not all council members participated in the ceremony. Four CPT members who voted to oust
Fils-Aime in January opted for an alternative Presidential College headed by Cour de Cassation
judge Jocelyne Casimir with Leslie Voltaire representing the CPT and Charles Tardieu
representing civil society as senior advisors. This rival structure appears sidelined by international
community backing of Fils-Aime. Reuters reported Haiti entered political limbo on as the mandate
of the Caribbean nation's transitional governing council ended with no succession plan in place
noting the term has been marked by a deterioration in security corruption accusations and
political infighting.



## HISTORICAL CONTEXT

The Transitional Presidential Council was established in April 2024 through a CARICOM-mediated
agreement following Prime Minister Ariel Henry's resignation amid escalating gang violence and
political crisis. The nine-member council was intended to govern collectively for eighteen months
until February 7 2026 while organizing Haiti's first elections since 2016.



## TALKING POINTS

Fils-Aime now wields executive power alone without institutional checks or oversight body
required under April 2024 Agreement
CARICOM framework confirms governance through Council of Ministers with Prime Minister as
chair and sole political authority
Rival Presidential College proposed by dissenting CPT members lacks international recognition
and appears stillborn
U.S. backing of Fils-Aime proved decisive in keeping him in office despite majority CPT vote to
dismiss him
Transition occurred without violence or major security incident representing best-case scenario for
institutional continuity
Accountability vacuum creates risk for governance legitimacy and donor confidence going
forward



## RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

February 07, 2026

International organizations should establish formal oversight mechanisms to monitor Fils-Aime
government actions and decisions
Donors should condition continued support on establishment of accountability framework as
mandated in April 2024 Agreement
Political actors must decide between constructive engagement on electoral preparations or
confrontational opposition risking sanctions
U.S. should clarify duration and scope of Operation Southern Spear naval presence to avoid
perceptions of occupation
CARICOM should maintain active monitoring role through Eminent Persons Group with regular
reporting on governance framework
Civil society should press for immediate establishment of chambre de controle de la transition
with defined oversight powers
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.



## DEVELOPMENT 2: U.S. WARSHIPS DEPLOYED IN PORT-AU-PRINCE BAY

The U.S. Embassy confirmed on February 3 that three American naval vessels are operating in
Haitian waters under Operation Southern Spear directed by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth.
USS Stockdale DDG 106 an Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer provides advanced
multi-mission warfare capabilities including anti-air anti-surface and anti-submarine systems.
USCGC Stone WMSL 758 a National Security Cutter conducts long-range patrol and
counter-narcotics operations. USCGC Diligence WMEC 616 a medium-endurance cutter handles
coastal law enforcement missions. The deployment represents the most visible U.S. military
presence in Haitian waters in recent years and coincides precisely with the CPT mandate
expiration.
The deployment follows Secretary of State Rubio's January 28 Senate hearing remarks that the
U.S. may need a stronger military posture to confront gangs and transnational criminal networks
operating in Haiti and elsewhere in the region. The Embassy statement characterized the
presence as reflecting the United States unwavering commitment to Haiti's security stability and a
brighter future. U.S. officials described the deployment as deterrence and support not direct
military intervention. Images of the warships circulated widely on social media starting February 3
prompting widespread reaction of Haitians across the world with critics worrying the deployment
could escalate tensions or be perceived as foreign intervention.
February 07, 2026

The timing of the deployment days before the February 7 transition deadline signals Washington's
intent to prevent institutional collapse or gang exploitation of political vacuum. The presence of a
guided-missile destroyer represents significant combat capability far exceeding typical
counter-narcotics or humanitarian missions. The deployment provides both visible deterrence
against gang mobilization and implicit support for the Fils-Aime government favored by
Washington. The operation appears designed to ensure smooth power transition while
demonstrating credible threat of military action if gangs attempt major attacks during vulnerable
transition period.



## HISTORICAL CONTEXT

The last major U.S. military intervention in Haiti was the 2004 deployment following President
Aristide's departure when Marines secured key sites in Port-au-Prince. Subsequent U.S. military
presence has primarily involved humanitarian missions following the 2010 earthquake and
medical ship deployments rather than combat-capable warships.



## TALKING POINTS

Three U.S. warships deployed under Operation Southern Spear represent most visible American
military presence in years
USS Stockdale guided-missile destroyer provides advanced warfare capabilities far exceeding
typical counter-narcotics missions
Deployment timed precisely with CPT expiration signals intent to prevent institutional collapse or
gang exploitation
Embassy characterizes presence as deterrence and support not intervention but critics worry
about perception of foreign occupation
Secretary Rubio's remarks about stronger military posture provide doctrinal justification for
expanded force presence
Visible naval deployment demonstrates credible threat capability while supporting Fils-Aime
government transition



## RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

Washington should clarify mission duration rules of engagement and specific objectives to avoid
open-ended presence
U.S. Embassy should coordinate with Haitian government on public messaging to address
sovereignty concerns
International partners should assess whether naval deployment indicates shift toward more
assertive U.S. policy
February 07, 2026

Private sector should evaluate whether warship presence improves security confidence or
increases political risk perception
Haitian civil society should monitor for mission creep or expansion beyond stated deterrence and
support objectives
Regional observers should track whether deployment model extends to other Caribbean states
facing security challenges
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.



## DEVELOPMENT 3: MASSIVE SECURITY DEPLOYMENT WITH NEW ARMORED VEHICLES

The Haiti National Police deployed exceptional security apparatus in Port-au-Prince on February
6-7 2026 including first operational use of three new tracked armored vehicles donated by South
Korea through bilateral cooperation. PNH sealed all access routes around Villa d'Accueil and
Primature with multiple armored vehicles deployed along Delmas and downtown axes and
strategic checkpoints reinforced at all routes leading to sensitive institutional sites. The
deployment objective was to prevent any act of violence sabotage or attempted takeover in a
context where heavily armed gangs continue to exert constant pressure on multiple
neighborhoods. The South Korean armored vehicles represent significant capability enhancement
for PNH providing protected mobility in high-threat urban environments.
Activities slowed significantly in Port-au-Prince on February 6 with reduced school attendance
and public transportation amid uncertainty about the transition. The security perimeter extended
beyond immediate government buildings to include major thoroughfares and gang territorial
boundaries. PNH maintained visible presence with armored patrols throughout transition day
sending message of state authority despite gang control of approximately 90 percent of the
capital. The deployment demonstrated operational capacity and coordination suggesting improved
PNH capabilities compared to previous major security operations. No major incidents occurred
during the transition period indicating either successful deterrence or gang strategic decision not
to test security apparatus during high-profile event.
The DCPJ Central Directorate of the Judicial Police issued arrest warrants against Youri Ralph
Chevry Interim Executive Agent of Port-au-Prince Arnel Belizaire former Deputy of Delmas
Tabarre and Smith Joseph charged with terrorism financing conspiracy against state security
February 07, 2026

criminal association and money laundering. The warrants signal continued law enforcement action
against political and economic actors allegedly supporting gang operations. The timing
immediately before transition suggests either completion of ongoing investigations or political
pressure to demonstrate state capacity ahead of CPT dissolution. The targets include municipal
and legislative figures indicating potential corruption network extending into institutional
structures.



## HISTORICAL CONTEXT

Haiti National Police has struggled with capacity and corruption challenges throughout the
transition period with gang violence overwhelming limited resources. Previous major security
operations including electoral security deployments have faced equipment shortages and
coordination problems limiting effectiveness against heavily armed gang networks.



## TALKING POINTS

PNH deployed new South Korean armored vehicles for first time providing enhanced capability in
urban combat environments
Security perimeter extended across Port-au-Prince with sealed access to Villa d'Accueil Primature
and major thoroughfares
Transition day occurred without major incidents suggesting successful deterrence or gang
strategic restraint
DCPJ arrest warrants target municipal legislative and business figures on terrorism financing and
state security charges
Deployment demonstrated operational coordination capacity suggesting improved PNH
capabilities compared to previous operations
New armored assets provide protected mobility against small arms and light weapons reducing
officer vulnerability



## RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

PNH should maintain enhanced security posture through initial post-transition period to prevent
gang testing of new government
International partners should accelerate armored vehicle and equipment deliveries to sustain
operational momentum
Fils-Aime government should publicly recognize PNH performance to build institutional
morale and public confidence
Security planners should assess whether transition deployment model scales to broader territorial
February 07, 2026

recovery operations
Donors should evaluate equipment needs based on demonstrated operational capacity during
transition security mission
Civil society should monitor arrest warrant prosecutions to ensure due process and avoid political
persecution
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.



## DEVELOPMENT 4: POST-CPT GOVERNANCE LANDSCAPE AND STAKEHOLDER

IMPLICATIONS
Le Nouvelliste described Fils-Aime as the new strongman of Haiti now facing security challenges
with 90 percent of Port-au-Prince under gang control and over 10000 killed during 22 months of
CPT rule. He must organize first elections since 2016 with CEP schedule targeting August 30
2026 first round while governing with U.S. backing but facing domestic opposition from 70+ party
coalition EDE Montana Accord and Fanm Yo Deside. The accountability vacuum with no oversight
body established despite April 2024 Agreement provisions creates legitimacy risks. Fils-Aime
must coordinate with Kenya-led GSF reaching full deployment by summer-autumn 2026 while
managing domestic political opposition viewing arrangement as externally imposed.
French Ambassador Antoine Michon told RFI on February 5 that it is very difficult to organize an
electoral process in current conditions acknowledging fundamental tension between election
timelines and security realities. The four dissenting CPT members proposal for three-person
Presidential College with Judge Casimir Voltaire and Tardieu appears to lack international
backing. With U.S. warships in the bay and Washington's explicit endorsement of Fils-Aime this
alternative structure is unlikely to gain traction unless the Prime Minister's government fails
operationally. The transition shifts key operational question from who governs to can Fils-Aime
govern effectively alone with BINUH renewed mandate through January 2027 and UNSOH April 1
deadline for GSF logistical support providing institutional anchors.
February 07, 2026

International organizations now have single executive counterpart simpler than
nine-member CPT but lacking institutional checks with accountability risks donors should
monitor. The transition was orderly with no violence no disruption and stable exchange
rate representing best-case scenario for business continuity. U.S. naval presence and
HOPE HELP renewal signal provide modest confidence in continued engagement but
fundamental operating environment unchanged with 90 percent gang control FAA ban until
March 7 and degraded infrastructure. Political actors face strategic choice between
constructive engagement with Fils-Aime government particularly on electoral preparations
or confrontational opposition risking international sanctions.



## HISTORICAL CONTEXT

Haiti has not held national elections since 2016 when President Jovenel Moise was elected. His
assassination in July 2021 triggered constitutional crisis with no functioning parliament and
disputed executive authority leading to April 2024 CARICOM-mediated transition agreement
establishing the CPT.



## TALKING POINTS

Fils-Aime now governs alone without institutional checks facing 90 percent gang control and
10000+ deaths during transition
French Ambassador acknowledges fundamental difficulty organizing elections in current security
conditions
70+ party coalition EDE Montana Accord and Fanm Yo Deside represent significant domestic
opposition to U.S.-backed arrangement
International community has single executive counterpart but accountability vacuum creates
donor risk
Orderly transition without violence represents best-case scenario but fundamental operating
environment unchanged
CEP targets August 30 2026 first round but feasibility depends on security improvements and
territorial access



## RECOMMENDED DECISIONS

International organizations should establish formal monitoring of Fils-Aime government with
regular accountability reporting
Political opposition should engage constructively on electoral preparations while maintaining
pressure for oversight framework
February 07, 2026

U.S. should balance support for Fils-Aime with insistence on accountability mechanisms and
inclusive governance
Donors should condition continued assistance on measurable progress toward electoral
preparation and security improvement
GSF deployment should prioritize territorial recovery enabling voter registration and electoral
infrastructure access
Civil society should mobilize for oversight body establishment as mandated in April 2024
Agreement framework
CONFIDENCE
High confidence based on official institutional reporting.



## WHAT TO WATCH NEXT





## NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS

Fils-Aime first official address as sole executive will signal policy priorities cabinet confirmation
and governance framework approach with international recognition statements from UN
Secretary-General U.S. State Department CARICOM and EU providing diplomatic validation.
Gang response will indicate whether Viv Ansanm or other groups test new power structure
through attacks or provocations. Dissenting CPT members must decide whether to accept
dissolution or contest arrangement through rival Presidential College structure.



## THIS WEEK

Supreme Court TPS appeal filing by Trump administration will determine timeline for
protections continuation affecting Haitian diaspora planning and remittance flows. GSF
Special Representative Jack Christofides assumes post mid-February providing
operational leadership for Kenya-led mission. CEP statement on feasibility of August 30
first round will signal realistic electoral timeline versus political commitment. Senate HOPE
HELP action on textile program extension affects private sector confidence and
employment.



## STRATEGIC HORIZON

February 07, 2026

Accountability framework movement toward establishing oversight body will determine
governance legitimacy and donor confidence sustainability. U.S. warship duration under
Operation Southern Spear signals Washington's commitment level and intervention
posture. Electoral timeline assessment must balance CEP schedule against French
Ambassador's acknowledgment that organizing process is very difficult in current
conditions. GSF full deployment timeline and territorial recovery operations will determine
whether security improvements enable electoral preparation. Political opposition strategy
between constructive engagement and confrontation will shape domestic legitimacy and
international support dynamics.



## PRIMARY SOURCES

France 24 Haiti presidential transitional council transfers power to PM Fils-Aime February 7 2026
Haiti Libre Haiti News Zapping CARICOM EPG governance framework announcement February 7
2026
Le Nouvelliste Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aime Alone at the Helm February 7 2026
721 News U.S. Embassy confirms warships in Haiti water amid political deadline February 2026
L'Union Suite U.S. deploys three warships to Port-au-Prince Bay February 2026
Le National Haiti PNH security deployment February 7 2026
Haiti Info Project X post on CPT ceremony and Presidential College February 7 2026
RFI French Ambassador Antoine Michon interview on electoral challenges February 5 2026
Canada Haiti More than 70 political parties agree on new transition period January 2026
Relief Web United Nations Integrated Office Haiti BINUH mandate report January 2026
Reuters Haiti enters political limbo as transition government mandate ends February 7 2026
Vant Bef Info Haiti Le Palais National place sous haute surveillance February 6 2026
February 07, 2026



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*Exported from AYITI INTEL Reader on 2026-03-01 05:25 UTC*