2026-02-03

ANALYTICAL BODY The three day Assises de suivi du dialogue inter haitien at Hotel Montana concluded February 3 with a proposed facilitation commission but no definitive consensus framework announced for post February 7 governance. Organized by three CPT members Leslie Voltaire Edgard Leblanc Fils and Louis Gerard Gilles the summit brought together political parties religious leaders unions and civil society to negotiate transition architecture with only four days remaining until the Transitional Presidential Council mandate expires. Le Nouvelliste February 3 headline captured the situation stating Four Days Before February 7 a Disjointed Path of Dialogue and assessing that no solution has emerged within Haiti political class to chart the way forward. Participants acknowledged limited time separating us from the February 7 deadline and discussed gross foreign interference complicating consensus building. The first day February 1 ended with an attempt to create a facilitation commission according to Gazette Haiti but operational details structure and authority of this proposed body remain undefined. Multiple political actors continue to boycott dialogue arguing there is no dialogue possible with the CPT that must leave power at any cost on February 7. The 70 plus Political Party Coalition maintains its November 2025 position calling for one year transition excluding all current CPT members featuring dual executive system with transitional president plus prime minister and targeting elections in fourth quarter 2026. International actors including United States United Nations and Organization of American States have stated unequivocally the CPT must be disbanded by February 7 per Article 13 of the April 3 2024 Agreement which explicitly prohibits February 03, 2026 mandate extension. UN Special Representative previously noted constitutional fallback provision allowing prime minister to remain in office if political actors fail to reach consensus suggesting PM Alix Didier Fils Aime could continue as caretaker executive. However this approach lacks domestic legitimacy if opposition political forces reject it. With no binding framework announced and persistent fragmentation among political actors Haiti faces potential institutional vacuum at midnight February 7 when CPT legal authority expires. Le Nouvelliste reported February 3 that over 10000 deaths have been recorded during the 22 months of CPT rule from April 2024 through February 2026 encompassing gang violence security operations and self defense group actions.