2026-01-22

Plan security budgets and risk assessments assuming current high-threat environment continues through at least mid-2026 Concentrate field operations in zones with established GSF presence rather than expecting broad security improvements Monitor force generation announcements from contributing countries as leading indicator of deployment acceleration Engage BINUH and GSF command on humanitarian corridor prioritization to align operational plans Prepare contingency scenarios for electoral timeline adjustments if security conditions remain non-permissive Factor delayed security improvements into annual program design and avoid over-optimistic planning assumptions CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.