2026-01-21

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

BINUH mandate expires January 31 2026 in ten days with no Security Council renewal resolution voted as of morning creating potential withdrawal seven days before CPT February 7 expiration. afternoon Security Council briefing with BINUH Head Ruiz Massieu expected to address renewal and post-February 7 scenarios followed by UN press briefing providing public positioning. January 21, 2026 Dual institutional vacuum scenario emerges if BINUH expires January 31 and CPT expires February 7 without successor eliminating UN coordination capacity during most critical seven-day governance transition period. represents practical deadline for initiating BINUH renewal process allowing minimum five to seven days for resolution drafting negotiation and voting before January 31 expiration. OAS institutional continuity clause from November 5 2025 Roadmap designed to avoid power vacuum may be activated if both BINUH and CPT expire without coordinated frameworks providing interim governance coordination. United Nations Office for Haiti Security and Governance UNSOH not yet operational cannot replace BINUH political coordination functions during February 1 through February 7 critical period.