2026-01-21

UN Secretary-General report documented 8100 plus killings January through November 2025 representing forty-five percent increase year-over-year and average 24 killings daily confirming sustained high-intensity violence. Report confirmed increased child trafficking with children used in violent gang attacks and fifty percent of armed group members being forcibly recruited youth creating self-perpetuating violence cycle. Secretary-General Guterres assessed transition roadmap worryingly slow and objective of reinstating democratic institutions by February 2026 now at risk representing UN most explicit warning that February 7 deadline will not be met. UN report released January 20 the day CPT dialogue concluded creates sharp contradiction between UN confirmation of transition failure and CPT optimistic dialogue language suggesting international actors preparing for institutional vacuum. Humanitarian crisis encompasses 1.4 million IDPs 5.7 million food insecure nearly 2 million at emergency levels 1600 schools closed 1.5 million children lacking education and cholera remaining major public health concern. Security Council briefing and UN press briefing expected to clarify whether UN activating contingency protocols including OAS institutional continuity clause for February 7 power vacuum scenario. January 21, 2026