2026-01-15

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 11 pages

TALKING POINTS

January 17 is final day of CARICOM critical window for framework announcements allowing 21-day implementation No announcements through January 15 suggests Haiti entering compressed timeline scenario Three scenarios exist: announcements with 21-day implementation CARICOM weekend emergency summit or extended silence creating 18-day window 21-day implementation requires decree drafting consultations approvals publication and stakeholder coordination If announcements delayed to January 20 only 18 days remain creating operational insufficiency risk Extended silence expected to trigger public panic opposition mobilization and gang violence resumption late January