2026-01-09

27-day Port-au-Prince pause from December 21 through January 9 is longest documented period without major gang violence. Geographic selectivity with Port-au-Prince quiet while Artibonite offensive continues demonstrates political sophistication. Pause confirms gangs have consolidated 80-90 percent territorial control not contested control requiring defensive violence. Crisis Group December 15 warning that gangs seek February 7 amnesty is only viable explanation for unprecedented duration. Gangs testing government resolve against PM Fils-Aime December 28 no negotiations doctrine. Pause approaching strategic limit expect mid-to-late January resumption between January 15-25.