2025-12-14

Daily Intelligence Brief (English) | 12 pages

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Candidate registration closes Monday after an unprecedented 14-day silence with zero major opposition declarations across all media channels, creating a registration mystery resolved only when the CEP publishes the final candidate list December 22. The Bel-Air massacre enters its seventh consecutive day with at least 60 dead and no government statements, police deployment, or humanitarian access, exposing the administration's deliberate non-intervention strategy allowing gang self-purging at cost of civilian lives and state legitimacy. The United States issued a third immigration restriction in 30 days with Family Reunification Parole program termination effective December 15, combining with TPS expiration February 3 and application freeze to create triple lock closing all legal pathways for 500,000 Haitians.