2025-12-18

Anticipate escalation of international counter-narcotics operations in 2026 requiring coordination between Haitian forces, GSF, DEA, and Caribbean security assets. Assess humanitarian access implications as counter-narcotics operations could restrict movement in gang-controlled territories where civilian populations require aid. Monitor maritime trafficking routes as gangs now control coastal transit points requiring naval interdiction capabilities beyond Haiti domestic capacity. Evaluate border security with Dominican Republic as UN assessment confirms gangs control key crossing points for drugs, weapons, and migrant flows. Prepare for perpetual gang rearmament challenges as guns-for-drugs trade ensures weapons continue flowing into Haiti regardless of embargo efforts. Coordinate intelligence sharing with Jamaica and Bahamas given documented involvement of regional nationals in Haitian trafficking networks. CONFIDENCE High confidence based on official institutional reporting.