2026-02-21

1.4 million IDPs with 23,000 January displacements confirms the security operation tempo has not yet bent the displacement curve. Dominican 24-hour arrest of 1,135 Haitians on February 19 directly compresses the primary informal displacement relief corridor. Compression dynamic -- internal gang expulsion plus closed eastern border -- will accelerate camp saturation timelines. IOM January figures will anchor humanitarian funding appeals for Q1 2026 and should be incorporated into donor engagement now. Arms trafficking prosecution of ex-PNH chief Normil, while significant institutionally, does not address immediate displacement drivers.