2026-01-30

Opposition plurielle and MORN demonstrations through February 7 create eight-day volatility window where street mobilizations could escalate. Supreme Court judge installation demand reflects constitutional interpretation that judicial authority assumes interim governance if CPT expires without successor. US sanctions characterized as blackmail by MORN captures civil society sovereignty concerns about foreign interference in political processes. CARICOM virtual meeting represents final mediation opportunity but Haitian actors express preference for domestically-driven outcome. Competing legitimacy claims possible post-February 7 between Saint-Cyr Fils-Aime caretaker government and opposition alternative frameworks. Gang territorial control unchanged limiting opposition capacity for sustained mass mobilizations but targeted demonstrations demonstrate determination.