2026-01-30

Augustin withdrawal definitively ends five-member coalition's capacity to remove Saint-Cyr or dismiss PM Fils-Aime with eight days until mandate expires. Formal letter cites preservation of stability necessary for peaceful transition as rationale reflecting legal concerns about institutional instability. Saint-Cyr controls Le Moniteur transmission mechanism giving him veto power over CPT resolutions acquiring legal force. US January 25 visa sanctions on two unnamed CPT members likely fractured dismissal coalition by creating credible deterrent. Constitutional provision allows PM to continue if no successor installed positioning Fils-Aime for post-February 7 caretaker role. Four-member coalition politically exhausted with no viable path to executive power before February 7 deadline.