2026-02-11

Le Monde assessment that August 30 election date already seems to be moving away suggests international media pricing in postponement. Expert James Boyard projects elections possible within twelve months placing new elected authorities by February 7 2027 in optimistic scenario. Gang territorial control sustainability depends on GSF deployment schedule with first arrivals expected April 2026 and full deployment October 2026. Humanitarian funding crisis at 3.4 percent of need will drive worsening malnutrition indicators by second quarter 2026 absent donor mobilization.