Figures who shape the race — party heads, the transitional executive and electoral authority, financiers, and armed-group actors whose posture bears on whether the vote happens.
Laurent Saint-Cyr
Potential
private sector (Chamber of Commerce)
· Ouest
Final rotating president of the CPT (to 7 Feb 2026); business-sector figure who handed executive power to PM Fils-Aimé.
AYITI INTEL assessment: a wealthy private-sector figure and possible future candidate; no 2026 declaration.
Maryse Narcisse
Potential
Fanmi Lavalas
Senior Fanmi Lavalas figure and the party's 2015 presidential candidate.
AYITI INTEL assessment: a party figure/coordinator; FL's 2026 standard-bearer is reported to be Lesly Voltaire.
Edgard Leblanc Fils
Party leader
Organisation du Peuple en Lutte (OPL)
OPL leader and ex-CPT rotating president; heads an approved legacy party.
AYITI INTEL assessment: carries transitional-insider weight and a functioning party structure.
Jean-Henry Céant
Party leader
Renmen Ayiti
Sanctions: Canada
Notary and former Prime Minister (2018-2019); leads the Renmen Ayiti party.
AYITI INTEL assessment: a standing organization and ex-PM profile; Canada-sanctioned (2022).
Liné Balthazar
Party leader
PHTK
President of PHTK (Martelly's party). PHTK is NOT among the parties approved for the 2026 vote.
AYITI INTEL assessment: leads a former ruling party now effectively sidelined from the 2026 field — a major bloc's absence reshapes the race.
Youri Latortue
Party leader
Ayiti an Aksyon (AAA)
Sanctions: US, Canada
AAA leader and former Senate president; a veteran power-broker.
AYITI INTEL assessment: master patronage operator; his US+Canada sanctions (for alleged corruption/gang links) are a reputational and eligibility cloud, though bilateral sanctions do not auto-bar a candidacy.
Alix Didier Fils-Aimé
Power-broker
Parti Vérité
· Ouest
incumbent
Prime Minister and — since the Transitional Presidential Council dissolved 7 Feb 2026 — sole head of Haiti's executive under the Feb 2026 National Pact. Businessman.
AYITI INTEL assessment: the pivotal gatekeeper. Whether the vote is held on the 13 Dec schedule turns more on his government than on any candidate.
Gilbert Bigio
Power-broker
GB Group (business)
Sanctions: Canada
Patriarch of the GB Group and reputedly Haiti's wealthiest businessman.
AYITI INTEL assessment: the apex private-sector financier whose posture shapes any transition. Canada sanctioned him for allegedly enabling armed groups (an allegation he denies).
Jacques Desrosiers
Power-broker
President of the Provisional Electoral Council (CEP), which runs the 2026 vote.
AYITI INTEL assessment: has publicly conditioned a credible vote on the state retaking ~20 gang-held communes — a bar current security conditions make hard to clear.
Jean-Bertrand Aristide
Power-broker
Fanmi Lavalas
· Ouest
Founder of Fanmi Lavalas and twice former president (ousted 1991 and 2004). Remains the movement's figurehead.
AYITI INTEL assessment: the kingmaker behind the FL ticket; his posture shapes the single most potent political brand.
Joseph Lambert
Power-broker
· Sud-Est
Sanctions: US, Canada
Former president of the Senate; a long-standing patronage operator.
AYITI INTEL assessment: an enduring Senate/patronage broker who can broker or block alignments; US+Canada sanctioned.
Michel Martelly
Power-broker
PHTK
Sanctions: US, Canada
Former president (2011-2016) and PHTK founder; musician.
AYITI INTEL assessment: still a kingmaker despite PHTK's exclusion. US Treasury sanctioned him 20 Aug 2024 for alleged drug trafficking, money laundering and gang sponsorship (also Canada) — serious allegations underpinning the sanctions.
Pierre Réginald Boulos
Power-broker
Mouvement Troisième Voie (MTV Ayiti)
Businessman and MTV Ayiti founder.
AYITI INTEL assessment: arrested by US ICE on 17 Jul 2025 over alleged Viv Ansanm support and faces deportation — Washington treats him as a destabilizer (allegations, not adjudicated).
Jimmy Chérizier
Barred
Viv Ansanm (ex-G9)
· Ouest
Sanctions: UN, US
Leader of the Viv Ansanm armed-group coalition (former police officer). UN- and US-sanctioned; US-indicted (Jul 2025) with a $5M reward; Viv Ansanm designated a Foreign Terrorist Organization.
AYITI INTEL assessment: the armed actor who can veto the vote by force; UNSC sanctions constitutionally bar any candidacy he has mused about.
Vitel'Homme Innocent
Barred
Kraze Baryè
· Ouest
Sanctions: UN, Canada
Leader of the Kraze Baryè armed group; controls key eastern Port-au-Prince approaches. On the FBI Ten Most Wanted list ($2M reward); UN- and Canada-sanctioned.
AYITI INTEL assessment: a top armed power-broker over strategic PAP terrain; UNSC sanctions bar any candidacy.